New Tariffs and US Exports of Polyethylene

On April 2, 2025 the US announced radical changes to tariffs on all imports into the US. US polyethylene imports from and exports to Canada and Mexico are under the US-Mexico-Canada Free Trade Agreement and are not impacted by the new tariffs. US exports of polyethylene, however, have risen rapidly since 2021 on higher shipments to Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Western Europe and other regions. What, if any, response will be made by trading partners in these regions against imports of polyethylene or other products from the US is not yet clear.

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ABS, SAN, Polyacetal and PET (Bottle Grade and Film/Fiber Grade) Global Trade Volume Rebounded Strongly in 2024; Polycarbonates Managed a Minor Gain; PMMA was down 1%.

The rebound followed two years, 2022 and 2023, of either declining or flat global trade volume for all of these polymers except bottle grade PET. This polymer posted a gain of 17% in 2022, a 5% decline in 2023 and another strong gain, up 15%, in 2024.

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Korea Increased PE, PP, and Styrenic Polymer Exports in a Difficult Trade Environment in 2024 by Shifting Export Destinations; PVC and PET Shipments Contracted

Competition from China and depressed demand globally made 2024 a particularly challenging year.

In 2024 Korea exported 4.5 million tons of ethylene polymers (all grades), up 1%; 3.8 million tons of propylene polymers, up 9%; 1.9 million tons of styrenic polymers, up 4%; 0.7 million tons of PVC, down 7%; and 0.8 million tons of PET, down 4%.

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Asia-Pacific’s PE, PP, PS, and PVC Trade in 2024: Key Trends, Challenges, and Regional Shifts

The Asia-Pacific region exported sizable volumes of polypropylene, propylene copolymers (PRC), polystyrene, and uncompounded PVC (PVCU) in 2024. Export trends for polyethylene grades were mixed, polypropylene surged on new capacity, styrenic exports were relatively flat, PVC shipments dropped.

With a major impact on global trends, Asia-Pacific continued as the world’s largest regional importer of all grades of polyethylene, but fell to second place for polypropylene and PRC, after Eastern Europe. Import demand in the larger Asia-Pacific markets – China, India, Vietnam, Indonesia – varied by polymer, declining in some, others showing impressive growth.

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Saudi Arabia and UAE Exports of Polypropylene in 2024 Hit by China’s Aggressive PP Export Expansion Globally

Saudi Arabia exported 4.4 million tons of polypropylene (all grades, partly estimated) in 2024, down 14%. The UAE shipped 1.7 million tons, down 7%. (UAE does not publish statistics; data is visible from trading partners). Shipments to Asia-Pacific were the most impacted.

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Saudi Arabia and UAE Expand Polyethylene Exports in 2024 Despite Trade Challenges

Saudi Arabia exported 10.6 million tons of polyethylene (all grades, partly estimated) in 2024, up 2% from 2023. The UAE shipped 3.8 million tons, up 11%. (UAE does not publish statistics; data is visible from trading partners). Key to the expansions were regional shifts.

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Global Trade in Recyclable Polyethylene Slowed in 2023 and 2024

Global trade in recyclable PE contracted slightly in 2024, to 2.9 million tons, off 1% from 2023. This followed a 3% decline in 2023 versus 2022. Turkey was the world’s largest importer of recyclable PE; imports picked up in 2024 as the average price fell.

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Middle East’s PE, PP, PS and PVC Trade in 2024: Key Trends, Challenges, and Regional Shifts

It was a challenging year for the world’s largest volume exporter of most grades of polyethylene and polypropylene. Weak demand in Asia-Pacific and competition from North America and Asia-Pacific resulted in a drop in Middle East exports of LPDE, EVA, polypropylene homopolymer, and propylene copolymers versus the prior year, and shifts in regional destinations.

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Brazil was a Commodity Polymer Import Powerhouse in 2024

Imports of nearly all grades of polyethylene, polypropylene, styrenic polymers, PVC and PET were up sharply versus 2023, many grades setting new records. Brazil’s imports of fabricated plastic products also surged to new highs.

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Latin America’s PE, PP, PS and PVC Trade in 2024: Key Trends, Challenges, and Regional Shifts

Latin America’s trade in commodity polymers in 2024 was characterized by sizable exports of HDPE, polypropylene homopolymer (PP), and uncompounded PVC (PVCU). Latin America was a growth import market for each of the commodity polymers, noting especially both large volumes and large percentage increases on linear/ethylene-alpha-olefin-copolymers (LL/EAOC), HDPE, PP, and PVCU.

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