China’s Exports of All the Commodity Polymers Set New Records in March 2024

The simultaneous jump to new highs in March of China’s exports of polyethylene, polypropylene, styrenic polymers, PVC and PET was unprecedented. A rebound in shipments after the holiday in February was expected and evident historically but new capacity was also indicated, particularly in polypropylene.

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Trends in Polyolefin Trade in Western Europe in 2023

Polyolefin demand in Western Europe in 2023 is measurable in part from the region’s intra-regional trade, its imports from other regions, and its exports to other regions. Lower intra-regional trade and lower imports indicate a drop in demand from one year to the next. These were evident in 2023 versus 2022 for LDPE, linear PE, HDPE, and PP homopolymer. Lower demand in a region is also usually associated with an increase in a region’s exports, if conditions make this possible. Western Europe’s exports of HDPE did increase in 2023, but shipments of other polymers were constrained by low demand in other regions and surging exports from North America.

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Trends in Recyclable Polyethylene in 2023

Global trade volume in 2023 dropped 2% from 2022, to 3.0 million tons, indicating weaker global demand. Key trends included lower intra-regional trade in Western Europe and Asia-Pacific, lower imports into Western Europe and a surge in imports into Asia-Pacific on material sourced mainly from Western Europe and North America. Average prices steadied in the second half of 2023 at low levels.

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Trends in China’s Polyolefin Trade Through February 2924

Polyethylene import and export volumes were higher versus February YTD 2023, but at depressed prices. Imports of polypropylene were down sharply; low-priced export volumes climbed.

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The Rise and Fall of Global Paraxylene Trade

New para-xylene capacity in China and also in the Middle East and the rationalization of uncompetitive production in the US and Western Europe have massively changed global trade flows.

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Trends in China’s Trade in Commodity Polymers in 2023

China’s imports of commodity polymers as a total of all grades of PE, PP, styrenics, PVC and PET, declined for the third year in a row, a loss of nearly 10 million tons of volume over the 2020-2023 period. Exports of the combined total climbed for the third year in a row, increasing by nearly 7 million tons. Shipments of manufactured products identifiable as plastic showed a small gain of 0.7 million tons in 2023, rising to 16.7 million tons.

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Trends in Global Trade in Polypropylene and Propylene Copolymers in 2023

The volume traded globally of both polymers fell for the second year in a row, primarily on trends in Western Europe and Asia-Pacific.

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Acrylonitrile Global Trade Trends

For most of the last ten years the volume of acrylonitrile (ACN) traded globally has trended downward. The exception was the period 2018 to 2021 when trade volume initially increased, then steadied, paralleling the trend in global trade in ABS polymer, its largest end use. There have been major shifts in ACN trade between regions over the period.

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Trends in EVA Global Trade

Global trade in ethylene-vinyl-acetate copolymers increased by 76% from 2013 to 2023 (projected). On a regional level, over the last five years, there were strong gains on exports from Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and North America and on imports into Asia-Pacific, Africa and Eastern Europe. Western Europe’s trade in EVA declined.

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PET and PTA Trends in Global Trade in 2023

The volume of global trade in both products is projected to be lower in 2023 than in 2022, with profound shifts in flows between regions.

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