Middle East Exports of Anhydrous Ammonia and Methanol are Projected Down 40% or More Through June 2026; MEG, Down 33%; HDPE and LDPE/LLDPE Each Down 20%.

From the start of the conflict on February 28, 2026, flows through the Strait of Hormuz have been restricted by both Iran and the US. The US increasingly imposed sanctions on Iranian vessels and its growing shadow fleet.

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Thailand Imported 0.5 Million Tons of Polyethylene Through June 2026 YTD, up 46% vs 2025, and Exported 1.1 Million Tons, Down 20%

Key factors in the trends were feedstock shortages from the shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz and aggressive exporting by China.

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Faced With Global Oversupply, South Korea Will Restructure the Yeosu Complex, Shutting 1.4 Million Tons of Ethylene Capacity

Korea’s ethylene exports plummeted with the start of the Iranian conflict. The restructuring will result in further declines.

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China Exported Record Volumes of PP Polymer and Fabricated PP Film/Sheet, PP Bags/Sacks in the First Half of 2026

The availability of excess polypropylene polymer capacity plus constrained supplies from the conflict in the Middle East gave China an unprecedented opportunity to sell PP polymer and fabricated PP products globally.

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China Exported Record Volumes of PE Polymer and Fabricated PE Film/Sheet, PE Bags/Sacks in the First Half of 2026

Constrained supplies of polymer and feedstocks from the Middle East provided China with opportunities to sell PE polymer and fabricated PE products globally.

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Brazil’s PE Import Sources Shifted Dramatically June 2026 YTD vs 2025; Much Lower Volumes From North America Largely Offset by Surge in PE from APAC, Middle East, and Others

Anti-dumping duties on North American suppliers and disruption in Middle East supply were major factors.

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Global PVC Trade (Compounded and Uncompounded) Rose 5% to 8.2 Million Tons Through May 2026 as Exports From China, Korea, and Thailand Soared

India and Vietnam were key export destinations, but shipments to numerous destinations were up, particularly countries in Eastern Europe and Africa. Trade within the Asia-Pacific region expanded by 13%, to 2.8 million tons.

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PE Global Trade Down 4% May 2026 YTD: Lower Exports From the Middle East Partly Offset by Higher Shipments From APAC; North American Shipments Flat as Regional Flows Shifted

Polyethylene global trade (all grades combined) is projected at 29.0 million tons through May 2026, a decline of 1.4 million tons from May 2025 YTD.

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Anhydrous Ammonia Global Trade Down 14% May 2026 YTD vs 2025 on Much Lower Middle East Exports; North American and Chinese Shipments Surged

Anhydrous ammonia global trade is projected at 6.6 million tons through May 2026, down from 7.2 million tons May 2025 YTD.

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