Ethylene Glycol Exports from the Middle East – Impact of Supply Disruption.

The conflict that began in Iran on February 28, 2026 has spread across the region, curtailing production and delaying or rerouting shipments of ethylene glycol through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Middle East is, by far, the world’s largest exporter of mono-ethylene glycol, shipping 7.6 million tons in 2025, out of total global exports of 12.4 million tons. As such, a protracted disruption in the region would have a major impact on trade flows globally.

Other exporting regions in 2025: North America, 4,375,000 tons; Western Europe, 276,000 tons; Eastern Europe, 3,000 tons; Asia-Pacific, 59,000 tons. Because of its secure feedstock position and ample supply, North America is poised to fill some of any supply gap.

The Middle East exported close to 90% of its total to Asia-Pacific, with sizable volumes also to Western Europe, Eastern Europe and Africa:

Saudi Arabia was the largest exporter in the Middle East, accounting for close to 80% of the region’s 7.6 million ton total. Kuwait, Oman, UAE and Iran accounted for the remainder. (Iran did not publish export statistics for most of 2025. However, in 2024 Iran actually reported 1 million tons of MEG exports, nearly all to China. Imports from Iran tend to be understated in trading partner import statistics.)

From International Trader Publications’ MEG World Trade Analysis, continuously updated analysis of global trade based on latest statistics from all reporting countries.

Methanol Exports from the Middle East – Impact of Supply Disruption.

The conflict that began in Iran on February 28, 2026 has spread across the region, curtailing production and delaying or rerouting shipments of methanol through the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East exports of methanol of 17.5 million tons in 2025 were 56% of total global exports of 31.1 million tons.

Exports from Iran have ended. On March 5, Qatar declared Force Majeure and suspended operations at its LNG, methanol, polymer and other downstream facilities.

The Middle East is, by far, the world’s largest exporter of methanol, shipping mainly to Asia-Pacific. As such, a protracted disruption in supply will have a major impact on that region.

Other exporting regions in 2025: Latin America, 6 million tons; North America, 4 million tons; Eastern Europe, 1.8 million tons; Africa 1.1 million tons; Western Europe 0.8 million tons.

Middle East exported 16.8 million tons of methanol to Asia-Pacific in 2025, out of the 17.5 million ton total. Methanol was shipped to numerous markets in the region, headed by China and India. (ITP estimates that well over half of the Middle East total in 2025 was actually from Iran. Iran did not report export statistics for most of 2025. But, in 2024, Iran reported exports of 10 million tons out of the total visible from the Middle East of 18 million tons for that year. Trading partner countries reported most of this as imports from “countries of origin” other than Iran.)

Other methanol exporters in the Middle East include Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Oman and Bahrain.

From International Trader Publications’ Methanol World Trade Analysis, continuously updated analysis of global trade based on statistics from all reporting countries.

Polypropylene Exports from the Middle East – Impact of Supply Disruption.

The conflict that began in Iran on February 28, 2026 has spread across the region, curtailing production and delaying or rerouting shipments of polypropylene through the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East exports of polypropylene of 7.0 million tons in 2025 were 42% of total global exports of 16.7 million tons.

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Polyethylene Exports from the Middle East – Impact of Supply Disruption.

Exports from Iran have ended and trade flows globally are being impacted by the conflict that began February 28, 2026, spread to other suppliers in the region, and delayed or rerouted shipments of polyethylene through the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East exports of polyethylene in 2025 of 18.7 million tons in 2025 were 43% of total global exports of 43.8 million tons.

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US-Canada Polyethylene Trade in 2025 Negatively Impacted by Fluctuating Tariff Policies

Uncertainty created by the “Liberation Day” policies announced by the US in April contributed to a drop in trade between the US and Canada for the year, and also led to greater efforts by both countries to increase exports abroad.

The renegotiation of the USMCA, which governs trade between the US, Mexico, and Canada is scheduled for later in 2026. Until this is finalized, tariff uncertainty will continue.

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Global Trade in PE Film/Sheet and PE Bags/Sacks Continued to Rise in 2025 Despite Bans on Single-Use Products

Global trade in PE film/sheet rose 8% in 2025 to 7.4 million tons; trade in PE bags/sacks grew by 6% to 5 million tons. This followed gains of about 6% per product in 2024, compared to 2023.

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US Polyethylene Exports Increased Again in 2025 on Gains to Latin America, Western Europe, and Other Regions

US exports of polyethylene (all grades combined) reached 15.7 million tons in 2025, up from 13.8 million tons in 2023, based on US export statistics.

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The US and India Have Announced a Trade Deal That Will Impact Trade in Petrochemicals and Related Products

Tariffs will be lowered or eliminated on a number of chemical, polymer, rubber, and plastic products, enhancing trade flows between the countries.

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Recyclable Polymers Global Trade Ranged Within Narrow Limits, 2020 to 2025

Trade volume for recyclable PE, styrenics, and PVC has been relatively consistent over the last several years, despite changes in the amount of virgin polymer traded globally, fluctuations in the price of virgin polymer, government restrictions on imports of recyclable material, changing demand by brand owners, new technologies, and other factors. However, trade flows between countries and regions have changed.

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Recyclable Polyethylene Trade Remained Stable at 2.8–3.1 Million Tons (2020-2025), Despite Regional Shifts

Prominent trends included increased trade within Western Europe and Eastern Europe, higher exports from Western Europe and Eastern Europe to other regions, reduced trade within the Asia-Pacific region, and reduced exports from North America.

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