Tag Archives: Canada

US – Canada Polyethylene Trade in 2025 Negatively Impacted by Fluctuating Tariff Policies.

Uncertainty created by the “Liberation Day” policies announced by the US in April contributed to a drop in trade between the US and Canada for the year, and also led to greater efforts by both countries to increase exports abroad.

The renegotiation of the USMCA, which governs trade between the US, Mexico and Canada, is scheduled for later in 2026. Until this is finalized, tariff uncertainty will continue.

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US Polyethylene Exports Increased Again in 2025, on Gains to Latin America, Western Europe and Other Regions.

US exports of polyethylene, all grades combined, reached 15.7 million tons in 2025, up from 13.8 million tons in 2023, based on US export statistics.

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China’s Imports of Commodity Polymers Continued Low in October 2025; Exports Stabilized Near Record Levels

China imported 18.3 million tons of all grades of PE, PP, PS, PVC, and PET through October 2025, down 8% on declines across all the polymers. Exports were 15.8 million tons, up 27%, with shipments of all polymers showing strong gains. Trade for the month was likely negatively impacted by the one week holiday celebrating China’s National Day, October 1-8.

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Brazil’s Soaring 2024 Polyethylene Imports Eased Somewhat Through September 2025; the Remainder of 2025 is Expected to be Impacted by Anti-Dumping Duties on US Polymer; Braskem Plans new Polyethylene Capacity in 2028

Brazil’s imports of polyethylene were at record high levels for most of 2024. Trade through September 2025 slowed versus the prior year, but the impact of a recent anti-dumping ruling against polymer imports from the US and Canada is expected to be realized in the fourth quarter.

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Sharp Drop in China’s Imports of Liquefied Propane Gas from US

In 2024, China reported imports of liquefied propane gas from the US of 17.3 million tons, up 37% from 2023. Through August of 2025, China’s imports from US were down 28%, to 8.2 million tons, the shortfall filled by Middle East and other sources.

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US Polyethylene Exports Shift to Other Regions, Offsetting Lower Volumes to Asia-Pacific

The US exported 9.1 million tons of polyethylene (all grades combined) through July 2025, up 5% from the same period in 2024. Trade with Asia-Pacific slowed, but there were strong gains to Eastern Europe and Africa and moderate increases to Western Europe and Latin America. Average prices remained depressed.

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US Ethanol Exports to Benefit from Trade Deal with the UK

On May 8, 2025 the US announced the first country-specific trade deal from among the many that are currently under negotiation. Details have yet to be finalized, but one provision to be included is tariff-free quotas for ethanol imports into the UK from the US.

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Brazil’s Commodity Polymer Imports May be Peaking

Brazil’s commodity polymer imports have surged 86% over the past three years—from 648,000 tons in April 2022 YTD to 1.2 million tons through April 2025—with polyethylene and polypropylene accounting for the bulk of the volume. That trend may be reversing.

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